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Polymarket · Sports · one bet
Excluded
$15.6k
Al Jazira (UAE) vs. Al-Muharraq SC: O/U 2.5
Flaznorp bought Over at 99.9¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 15,619 shares, Oct 28, 13:15 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on Over, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market resolved Over, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp bought Over for $15.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, -27.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $15.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsOver price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.