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What this means. A wallet put $668.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?excluded
$668.1k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 669,395 shares in 16 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side16 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)15.7× this wallet's usual betCrypto

What happened

Wallet 0x6dcb…9934 took No (sell) for $668.1k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $668.1k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
16 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$668.1k
Placed
Jan 28, 10:34 EST
Market close
Feb 01, 00:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x6dcb…9934
Tx
0x2e60ca46…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $668.1k WHALE $668.1K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $34.5k100% jwp9999268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $19.3k100% highlows268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ $661.3k
14.1× usual
0% 0x2f82…4efd268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $13.1k100% 0x2f82…4efd268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ $1.13M
26.7× usual
0% 0x6dcb…9934268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ $1.13M
24.2× usual
0% 0x2f82…4efd268d agoexcluded