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0x6dcb…9934

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$2.14M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$577
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.76M volume · 496 trades · since Oct 20, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$394
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$216
Closed-position win rate
60%
30 closed
Wallet age · markets
370d
38 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ $668.1k
15.7× usual
0% 269d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ $1.13M
26.7× usual
0% 269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.8¢ $49.5k1% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $49.6k99% 271d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $62.4k1% 271d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $35.4k99% 271d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ $19.3k3% 271d agomissed
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $19.0k97% 271d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $33.9k98% 271d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $51.8k98% 271d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 93.2¢ $10.2k7% 369d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 93.9¢ $10.3k94% 369d agocalled
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$668.1k
MED 0x6dcb…9934 · 269d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$1.13M
MED 0x6dcb…9934 · 269d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 98.8¢$49.5k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 270d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99¢$49.6k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 271d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99¢$62.4k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 271d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99¢$35.4k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 271d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?missed
SELL No @ 96.7¢$19.3k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 271d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 97.5¢$19.0k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 271d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 98¢$33.9k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 271d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 97.8¢$51.8k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 271d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?missed
SELL Yes @ 93.2¢$10.2k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 369d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called
BUY Yes @ 93.9¢$10.3k
LOW 0x6dcb…9934 · 369d ago

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6dcb20…