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Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $25.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?excluded$25.6k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 49,295 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Woaifacai took Yes (buy) for $25.6k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $25.6k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 20:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Woaifacai
- Tx
- 0x2dd2dc4f…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+17.3 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | MED SELL Yes @ 95.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |