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Bengals vs. Texansmissed
What this means. A wallet put $261.9k on Texans, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bengals vs. Texansmissed$261.9k
BUY Texans @ 58¢ · 451,489 shares
Size ≥ $250k4.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gmpm2 took Texans (buy) for $261.9k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Bengals, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $261.9k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Texans wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $261.9k
- Placed
- Sep 19, 16:15 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 20, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Bengals
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gmpm2
- Tx
- 0x2b9a23c1…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-6.9 pts
expected 10.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsTexans price · entry 58¢ · resolved Bengals
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals vs. Texans | LOW SELL Bengals @ 99.9¢ | $37.0k | excluded |
| Bengals vs. Texans | LOW SELL Bengals @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Bengals vs. Texans | LOW BUY Bengals @ 99.9¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| Bengals vs. Texans | LOW BUY Bengals @ 96¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Bengals vs. Texans | LOW BUY Bengals @ 77¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Bengals vs. Texans | LOW BUY Texans @ 50¢ | $10.2k | excluded |