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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenAwaiting resolution
$12.5k
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
mr.ozi sold No at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 12,474 shares, Oct 29, 13:18 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet mr.ozi sold No for $12.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $12.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.1 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · now 100¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.