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What this means. A wallet put $27.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.0k
BUY Yes @ 41¢ · 65,934 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Yes (buy) for $27.0k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $27.0k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- As American odds
- +144 no vig
- Size
- $27.0k
- Placed
- Jun 04, 01:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 02:04 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x2882d0dc…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +59 ptsYes price · entry 41¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $15.4k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $15.9k | missed | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $27.1k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $14.2k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $32.8k | called |