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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$11.7k

Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils

Kkunn bought Arthur Fils at 65¢. The price gave that side a 65% chance. 18,000 shares, Oct 29, 11:23 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on Arthur Fils, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market resolved Arthur Fils, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Kkunn bought Arthur Fils for $11.7k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied 65% for the side they took. The market resolved Arthur Fils. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +58.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $11.7k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Arthur Fils wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +35 pts
Arthur Fils price · entry 65¢ · resolved Arthur Fils
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 65¢ · $11.7k WHALE $11.7K @ 65¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur FilsLOW SELL Arthur Fils @ 99.9¢ $27.0k0% kkookkoo8h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur FilsLOW SELL Arthur Fils @ 94¢ $11.0k6% Luzzzer9h agoExcluded
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur FilsHIGH Alex Michelsen UP +33.0 pts $116.7k
24h vol
66% —10h agoExcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

NO Alex Michelsen$13.6k71¢8h ago
YES Arthur Fils$18.5k71¢8h ago
NO Alex Michelsen$12.7k90¢8h ago
YES Arthur Fils$12.2k90¢8h ago
YES Arthur Fils$14.7k85¢8h ago
NO Alex Michelsen$11.7k68¢9h ago
YES Arthur Fils$15.1k68¢9h ago
YES Alex Michelsen$14.5k46¢9h ago