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What this means. A wallet put $496.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?excluded
$496.3k
BUY Yes @ 41¢ · 1,198,163 shares in 7 fills
Size ≥ $250k7 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 3edmond.dantes took Yes (buy) for $496.3k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $496.3k+3
7 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+141American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
41¢
Implied odds
41.4%
As American odds
+141 no vig
Size
$496.3k
Placed
Aug 30, 08:01 EDT
Market close
Aug 30, 09:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
3edmond.dantes
Tx
0x25d9b870…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.3 pts
expected 1.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +59 pts
Yes price · entry 41¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 41¢ · $496.3k WHALE $496.3K @ 41¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% 0xkainandabel55d agoexcluded
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $28.7k
2.2× usual
0% WINSONS55d agoexcluded
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?HIGH BUY Yes @ 43¢ $657.2k43% 3edmond.dantes55d agoexcluded
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ $10.2k43% 0x9e3e…f88255d agoexcluded