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What this means. A wallet put $19.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 38 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.6k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 31,687 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xf559…f462 took Yes (buy) for $19.6k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 62.0%
- As American odds
- −163 no vig
- Size
- $19.6k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 20:04 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xf559…f462
- Tx
- 0x20e92f6e…
This wallet's graded record
20/38-6.8 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +38 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $48.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.1k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 93.8¢ | $41.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |