← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $693.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$693.3k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 693,961 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)7.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet kgvdotcom took No (sell) for $693.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $693.3k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $693.3k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 22:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 22:03 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- kgvdotcom
- Tx
- 0x20a30fe1…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+4.6 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $693.3k 7.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $39.8k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $13.8k | excluded |