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What this means. A wallet put $15.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?excluded
$15.8k
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 27,294 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet zhuz632 took Yes (buy) for $15.8k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$15.8k
Placed
Jun 26, 19:27 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
zhuz632
Tx
0x20886981…
This wallet's graded record
11/19+6.4 pts
expected 9.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +42 pts
Yes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $15.8k WHALE $15.8K @ 58¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% skrtblock120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $41.0k0% neutralwave23120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% xSahur120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.0k0% 0x3d97…f263120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.8k0% suntori LOSING120d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% Wealth8120d agoexcluded