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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$15.9k
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
aenews2 bought Yes at 31¢. The price gave that side a 31% chance. 50,823 shares, Oct 28, 06:59 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $15.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet aenews2 bought Yes for $15.9k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied 31% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $15.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+219American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +1.7 ptsYes price · entry 31¢ · now 33¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.