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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on FlyQuest, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY FlyQuest @ 69¢ · 15,199 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Sunshine.Smile took FlyQuest (buy) for $10.5k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Shopify Rebellion. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−222American odds
$1.00paid per share if FlyQuest wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 68.9%
- As American odds
- −222 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Oct 07, 07:07 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 07, 06:15 EDT
- Result
- Shopify Rebellion
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Sunshine.Smile
- Tx
- 0x1d5d1ee8…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-42.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -69 ptsFlyQuest price · entry 69¢ · resolved Shopify Rebellion
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | $21.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | $29.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY FlyQuest @ 73¢ | $22.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY FlyQuest @ 69¢ | $21.8k | excluded |