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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on FlyQuest, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerexcluded
$10.5k
BUY FlyQuest @ 69¢ · 15,199 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Sunshine.Smile took FlyQuest (buy) for $10.5k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Shopify Rebellion. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−222American odds
$1.00paid per share if FlyQuest wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
69¢
Implied odds
68.9%
As American odds
−222 no vig
Size
$10.5k
Placed
Oct 07, 07:07 EDT
Market close
Oct 07, 06:15 EDT
Result
Shopify Rebellion
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Sunshine.Smile
Tx
0x1d5d1ee8…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-42.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -69 pts
FlyQuest price · entry 69¢ · resolved Shopify Rebellion
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 69¢ · $10.5k WHALE $10.5K @ 69¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ $21.5k0% sofa8888817d agoexcluded
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ $29.1k0% 0xe2d0…7bbf17d agoexcluded
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ $17.9k0% fidelis117d agoexcluded
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLOW BUY FlyQuest @ 73¢ $22.3k73% zb817d agoexcluded
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLOW BUY FlyQuest @ 69¢ $21.8k69% Diabolical-Prize17d agoexcluded