What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -42.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice.How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-42.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$610.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$724.2k
Last 30 days +$327.1k · $40.76M volume · 51,235 trades · since Dec 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
