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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on Lightning, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Sabres vs. Lightningexcluded
$10.4k
BUY Lightning @ 71¢ · 14,588 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x221d…e800 took Lightning (buy) for $10.4k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved Sabres. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lightning wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
71¢
Implied odds
71.0%
As American odds
−245 no vig
Size
$10.4k
Placed
Feb 28, 19:00 EST
Market close
Feb 28, 19:00 EST
Result
Sabres
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x221d…e800
Tx
0x1c6273e8…

Entry to resolution

Grade -71 pts
Lightning price · entry 71¢ · resolved Sabres
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 71¢ · $10.4k WHALE $10.4K @ 71¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Sabres vs. LightningMED BUY Sabres @ 31¢ $88.4k31% BWArmageddon238d agoexcluded
Sabres vs. LightningMED BUY Lightning @ 70¢ $47.1k70% weflyhigh PROVEN238d agoexcluded
Sabres vs. LightningMED BUY Lightning @ 69¢ $34.8k69% Talvez10 PROVEN238d agomissed