Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs

jakepaulthegoat2008 bought Astralis at 63¢. The price gave that side a 63% chance. 167,632 shares, 2 fills, Oct 29, 13:52 EDT.

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Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $105.1k on Astralis, at a price that gave it a 63% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet jakepaulthegoat2008 bought Astralis for $105.1k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied 63% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 9 of 16 on graded bets, +0.7 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $105.1k+2

2 fills within 1h+1

Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betSports

What 63¢ means

63%chance the market gave

−168American odds

$1.00paid per share if Astralis wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -62.7 pts

Astralis price · entry 63¢ · now 0¢

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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