← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $18.9k on Djokovic, at a price that gave it a 27% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.9k
BUY Djokovic @ 27¢ · 70,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet su281 took Djokovic (buy) for $18.9k at an average 27¢. At that price the market implied a 27% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 27¢ means
27%chance the market gave
+270American odds
$1.00paid per share if Djokovic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 27¢
- Implied odds
- 27.0%
- As American odds
- +270 no vig
- Size
- $18.9k
- Placed
- Jan 31, 12:51 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 03:30 EST
- Result
- Alcaraz
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- su281
- Tx
- 0x1b9a367c…
This wallet's graded record
4/7-2.8 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -27 ptsDjokovic price · entry 27¢ · resolved Alcaraz
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $209.6k 8.5× usual |
excluded |