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What this means. A wallet put $80.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?excluded
$80.0k
BUY Yes @ 40¢ · 200,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet NiNo999 took Yes (buy) for $80.0k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $80.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
40.0%
As American odds
+150 no vig
Size
$80.0k
Placed
Jun 17, 18:52 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 19:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
NiNo999
Tx
0x1b23e584…
This wallet's graded record
0/8-53.6 pts
expected 4.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +60 pts
Yes price · entry 40¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $80.0k WHALE $80.0K @ 40¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $82.1k
2.2× usual
0% 0x3dfb…abaf128d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $149.3k0% Trevor99128d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $199.8k
3.6× usual
0% NiNo999128d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.3k0% pot.of.greed128d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ $17.2k99% blkmont128d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢ $10.7k3% NO.9kami128d agoexcluded