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What this means. A wallet put $35.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?missed
$35.5k
BUY Yes @ 71¢ · 50,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet joosangyoo took Yes (buy) for $35.5k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $35.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
71¢
Implied odds
71.0%
As American odds
−245 no vig
Size
$35.5k
Placed
Mar 02, 13:55 EST
Market close
Mar 02, 15:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
joosangyoo
Tx
0x1a55cd30…
This wallet's graded record
4/9+0.6 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -71 pts
Yes price · entry 71¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 71¢ · $35.5k WHALE $35.5K @ 71¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $100.6k
2.7× usual
0% VPenguin236d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $31.6k100% toanhtoanh236d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $13.7k69% Wannac236d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ $181.1k
5.8× usual
70% joosangyoo236d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?LOW BUY No @ 31¢ $16.9k31% KingVon99236d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ $17.5k70% 0x8231…04f0 NEW236d agoexcluded