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What this means. A wallet put $23.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.4k
BUY Yes @ 98.2¢ · 23,827 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Yes (buy) for $23.4k at an average 98.2¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5412American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.2¢
- Implied odds
- 98.2%
- As American odds
- −5412 no vig
- Size
- $23.4k
- Placed
- Apr 08, 16:40 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 08, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x17d1ca8d…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $74.3k | excluded |