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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on Carlos Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-13.7 pts over 30 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.2k
BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 47¢ · 23,519 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Carlos Alcaraz (buy) for $11.2k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Jannik Sinner. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+111American odds
$1.00paid per share if Carlos Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.4%
- As American odds
- +111 no vig
- Size
- $11.2k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 09:49 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 09:05 EDT
- Result
- Jannik Sinner
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0x17cf2c95…
This wallet's graded record
14/30-13.7 pts
expected 18.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsCarlos Alcaraz price · entry 47¢ · resolved Jannik Sinner
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | LOW SELL Jannik Sinner @ 99.9¢ | $41.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | LOW SELL Jannik Sinner @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | LOW SELL Jannik Sinner @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | MED SELL Jannik Sinner @ 99.9¢ | $687.1k 11.8× usual |
excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | LOW SELL Jannik Sinner @ 99.9¢ | $53.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | LOW SELL Jannik Sinner @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |