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What this means. A wallet put $29.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 28% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?excluded
$29.5k
SELL No @ 72¢ · 41,026 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet norrisfan took No (sell) for $29.5k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 28% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $29.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
72¢
Implied odds
28.0%
As American odds
+257 no vig
Size
$29.5k
Placed
Apr 26, 08:11 EDT
Market close
Apr 26, 09:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
norrisfan
Tx
0x174c4c59…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+19.1 pts
expected 1.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +72 pts
No price · entry 72¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 72¢ · $29.5k WHALE $29.5K @ 72¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.6k0% alexubet181d agoexcluded
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $14.7k87% XVFlow181d agoexcluded
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?HIGH BUY Yes @ 30¢ $120.4k30% jackiechann181d agoexcluded