← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.0 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
BUY Yes @ 76¢ · 13,652 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet neutralwave23 took Yes (buy) for $10.4k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−317American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 76.0%
- As American odds
- −317 no vig
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 01:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- neutralwave23
- Tx
- 0x17048e2f…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+0.0 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +24 ptsYes price · entry 76¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $205.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |