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What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.5k
BUY Yes @ 84¢ · 14,881 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x0537…e9dc took Yes (buy) for $12.5k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−525American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 84.0%
- As American odds
- −525 no vig
- Size
- $12.5k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 14:43 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x0537…e9dc
- Tx
- 0x151be2e6…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-84.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -84 ptsYes price · entry 84¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $48.1k | excluded |