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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$10.3k

Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian

Flaznorp bought Valerio Aboian at 97.8¢. The price gave that side a 98% chance. 10,534 shares, Oct 29, 15:33 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on Valerio Aboian, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market resolved Valerio Aboian, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Flaznorp bought Valerio Aboian for $10.3k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied 98% for the side they took. The market resolved Valerio Aboian. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, -27.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $10.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4444American odds
$1.00paid per share if Valerio Aboian wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
Valerio Aboian price · entry 97.8¢ · resolved Valerio Aboian
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97.8¢ · $10.3k WHALE $10.3K @ 97.8¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio AboianHIGH Diego Dedura-Palomero DOWN -40.9 pts $136.2k
24h vol
70% —6h agoExcluded
Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio AboianLOW SELL Valerio Aboian @ 95.6¢ $10.7k4% 0xf12f…b30f6h agoExcluded
Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio AboianLOW BUY Diego Dedura-Palomero @ 77¢ $27.7k77% 0xc1a9…e2db10h agoMissed