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What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?excluded
$11.4k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 11,457 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet Bogdan.Whitelist took No (buy) for $11.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$11.4k
Placed
Jun 07, 16:51 EDT
Market close
Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Bogdan.Whitelist
Tx
0x149e10fb…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.1k0% CiaoBilly138d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.8k0% 98778 NEW138d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.9k0% 8632138d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% 0x8372…d1c4 NEW138d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $51.1k100% danielleggerman138d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $109.9k
4.4× usual
100% strike123138d agoexcluded