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What this means. A wallet put $23.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+5.3 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.3k
BUY Yes @ 78¢ · 29,681 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took Yes (buy) for $23.3k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $23.3k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−362American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 78.3%
- Size
- $23.3k
- Placed
- Sep 11, 08:34 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0x12bf7a44…
This wallet's graded record
17/25+5.3 pts
expected 15.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +22 ptsYes price · entry 78¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |