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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
BUY No @ 35¢ · 33,732 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $11.8k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 35.0%
- As American odds
- +186 no vig
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 02:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x10252fff…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -35 ptsNo price · entry 35¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | MED SELL Yes @ 95.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |