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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$12.3k

Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-28?

Flaznorp bought No at 75¢. The price gave that side a 75% chance. 16,408 shares, Oct 28, 19:07 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $12.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. The market resolved No, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Flaznorp bought No for $12.3k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied 75% for the side they took. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, -27.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.3k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−299American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +25 pts
No price · entry 75¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 75¢ · $12.3k WHALE $12.3K @ 75¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.