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What this means. A wallet put $18.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.8k
SELL No @ 99.5¢ · 18,850 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x4c86…366b took No (sell) for $18.8k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 0.5%
- Size
- $18.8k
- Placed
- Oct 10, 00:57 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 30, 19:41 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4c86…366b
- Tx
- 0x0d1b1c20…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+10.4 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.1k | excluded |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $169.2k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $262.2k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $58.6k | excluded |