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Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $58.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded$58.7k
SELL Yes @ 31¢ · 189,440 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet shutitfatty took Yes (sell) for $58.7k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $58.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 69.0%
- As American odds
- −223 no vig
- Size
- $58.7k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 16:30 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 28, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- shutitfatty
- Tx
- 0x0b23be0c…
This wallet's graded record
7/12-1.6 pts
expected 7.2 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.5k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $131.1k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ | $71.8k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |