← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.2k
SELL No @ 95.8¢ · 31,536 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0x6d77…b72c took No (sell) for $30.2k at an average 95.8¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $30.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 95.8¢
- Implied odds
- 4.2%
- Size
- $30.2k
- Placed
- Jan 16, 11:26 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6d77…b72c
- Tx
- 0x0af2b45f…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+6.0 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -4 ptsNo price · entry 95.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.2k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.4k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.3k 3.9× usual |
excluded |