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What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.2k
BUY No @ 49¢ · 38,850 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet DegenCAD took No (buy) for $19.2k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+102American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.5%
- Size
- $19.2k
- Placed
- Mar 20, 00:36 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 19:55 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- DegenCAD
- Tx
- 0x0aee3f3c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-27.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $38.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $68.8k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $18.2k | excluded |