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What this means. A wallet put $188.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$188.0k
BUY Yes @ 82¢ · 229,220 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)4.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Yes (buy) for $188.0k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $188.0k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−456American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 82.0%
- As American odds
- −456 no vig
- Size
- $188.0k
- Placed
- Aug 26, 14:00 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 26, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x0aed3d49…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +18 ptsYes price · entry 82¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $590.3k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $70.0k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | MED SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $12.2k | excluded |