← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.1k
SELL No @ 97.7¢ · 13,415 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xcd64…b1b3 took No (sell) for $13.1k at an average 97.7¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.7¢
- Implied odds
- 2.3%
- As American odds
- +4248 no vig
- Size
- $13.1k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 13:35 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xcd64…b1b3
- Tx
- 0x0a76f552…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-17.7 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsNo price · entry 97.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 2.1¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 2.2¢ | $23.8k | excluded |