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Polymarket · Sports · one bet
Excluded
$12.9k
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
thetesterguy sold Over at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 12,893 shares, Oct 29, 15:30 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on not Over, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Over, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet thetesterguy sold Over for $12.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $12.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 99.9¢ | $35.6k 2.1× usual |
Excluded |