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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
SELL Yes @ 71¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideFresh walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet sunlc.ai took Yes (sell) for $10.7k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 71¢
- Implied odds
- 28.8%
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Jul 27, 20:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sunlc.ai
- Tx
- 0x047c4649…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -29 ptsYes price · entry 71¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |