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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
$10.7k
SELL Yes @ 71¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideFresh walletEconomy

What happened

Wallet sunlc.ai took Yes (sell) for $10.7k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $10.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
71¢
Implied odds
28.8%
Size
$10.7k
Placed
Jul 27, 20:34 EDT
Market close
Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
sunlc.ai
Tx
0x047c4649…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
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Entry to resolution

Grade -29 pts
Yes price · entry 71¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 71¢ · $10.7k WHALE $10.7K @ 71¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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