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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
BUY Alcaraz @ 74¢ · 14,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x439b…2c9a took Alcaraz (buy) for $10.4k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−285American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 74.0%
- As American odds
- −285 no vig
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Jan 31, 11:30 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 03:30 EST
- Result
- Alcaraz
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x439b…2c9a
- Tx
- 0x0334c2fe…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+10.3 pts
expected 4.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +26 ptsAlcaraz price · entry 74¢ · resolved Alcaraz
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $209.6k 8.5× usual |
excluded |