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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.0k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took No (buy) for $19.0k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market hasn't resolved yet.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $19.0k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 07:31 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 23:59 EST
- Result
- pending
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x02b18017…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsNo price · entry 95¢ · now 94.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $29.1k | pending |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $27.3k | pending |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $13.3k | pending |