← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.3k
SELL No @ 95¢ · 14,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Vilgefortz took No (sell) for $13.3k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 5.0%
- Size
- $13.3k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 14:54 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Vilgefortz
- Tx
- 0x5caf81bd…
This wallet's graded record
9/9+27.0 pts
expected 6.6 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsNo price · entry 95¢ · now 94.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $14.1k | pending |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $29.1k | pending |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $19.0k | pending |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $27.3k | pending |