← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $26.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.0 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.2k
SELL Yes @ 57¢ · 45,991 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet neutralwave23 took Yes (sell) for $26.2k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $26.2k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $26.2k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 10:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- neutralwave23
- Tx
- 0x023e7a40…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+0.0 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsYes price · entry 57¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 96.6¢ | $153.3k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |