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What this means. A wallet put $17.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$17.2k
BUY No @ 94.1¢ · 18,245 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports

What happened

Wallet Momo63 took No (buy) for $17.2k at an average 94.1¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1595American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
94.1¢
Implied odds
94.1%
As American odds
−1595 no vig
Size
$17.2k
Placed
Jul 11, 01:25 EDT
Market close
Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Momo63
Tx
0x00feb2a4…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+14.7 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +6 pts
No price · entry 94.1¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 94.1¢ · $17.2k WHALE $17.2K @ 94.1¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $150.3k
4.4× usual
0% jinwujinshu104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k
2.0× usual
0% 1922104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.8k
2.1× usual
0% redbaron23104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $21.2k0% rodrigr28104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.0k0% 0x4e8b…05bd104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $90.0k99% 0xe690…e257 NEW104d agoexcluded