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0xf743…ac84

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$10.8kYes · avg 29¢ → 66¢ · $19.2k · 1 proven with, 0 againstWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$25No · avg 93¢ → 98.7¢ · $434
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$333.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$381.6k
Last 30 days +$4,048 · $20.90M volume · 3,277 trades · since Feb 17, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$389.9k
Open P&L · 20 positions
−$8,906
Closed-position win rate
75%
185 closed
Wallet age · markets
614d
185 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 97¢ $78.7k
3.0× usual
3% 354d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 96.3¢ $15.2k4% 360d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ $12.7k88% 374d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED SELL Yes @ 79¢ $66.7k
2.5× usual
21% 414d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED SELL Yes @ 82¢ $40.8k18% 415d agomissed
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $48.4k92% 466d agocalled
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $37.9k90% 481d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL Yes @ 49¢ $10.7k51% 572d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ $11.8k31% 603d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $10.1k69% 613d agomissed
Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded
SELL No @ 97¢$78.7k
LOW 0xf743…ac84 · 354d ago
Xi Jinping out in 2025?missed
SELL No @ 96.3¢$15.2k
LOW 0xf743…ac84 · 360d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called
BUY Yes @ 88¢$12.7k
LOW 0xf743…ac84 · 374d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?missed
SELL Yes @ 79¢$66.7k
MED 0xf743…ac84 · 414d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?missed
SELL Yes @ 82¢$40.8k
MED 0xf743…ac84 · 415d ago
Xi Jinping out in 2025?called
BUY No @ 92¢$48.4k
LOW 0xf743…ac84 · 466d ago
Xi Jinping out in 2025?called
BUY No @ 90¢$37.9k
LOW 0xf743…ac84 · 481d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?called
SELL Yes @ 49¢$10.7k
LOW 0xf743…ac84 · 572d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?called
SELL Yes @ 69¢$11.8k
LOW 0xf743…ac84 · 603d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?missed
BUY Yes @ 69¢$10.1k
LOW 0xf743…ac84 · 613d ago

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf743f4…