0xe5f0…dc1d

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$3,069Yes · avg 55¢ → 67¢ · $17.6k · 1 proven with, 0 against Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?−$90No · avg 67¢ → 66¢ · $12.0k Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?−$6,776Yes · avg 34¢ → 19¢ · $8,531 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?−$936Yes · avg 27¢ → 16¢ · $1,476 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$642Yes · avg 17¢ → 10¢ · $972 Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?+$46Yes · avg 1.7¢ → 1.9¢ · $370 Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5+$2Over · avg 46¢ → 46¢ · $188 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$41Yes · avg 6.4¢ → 9¢ · $141

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$153.5k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$663.9k

Last 30 days −$81.8k · $31.05M volume · 138,692 trades · since Mar 15, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$2.77M

Open P&L · 500 positions

−$1.38M

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

223d

4587 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢	$10.3k	47%	128d ago	excluded
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 42¢	$18.9k	42%	129d ago	excluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$11.0k	0%	164d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$30.1k	0%	177d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$30.9k	0%	185d ago	excluded
Hurricanes vs. Islanders	LOW SELL Hurricanes @ 99.9¢	$20.0k	0%	192d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 90¢	$18.0k	90%	194d ago	called
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢	$14.3k	0%	201d ago	excluded

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?excluded

BUY Yes @ 47¢$10.3k

LOW 0xe5f0…dc1d · 128d ago

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 42¢$18.9k

LOW 0xe5f0…dc1d · 129d ago

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$11.0k

LOW 0xe5f0…dc1d · 164d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$30.1k

LOW 0xe5f0…dc1d · 177d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$30.9k

LOW 0xe5f0…dc1d · 185d ago

Hurricanes vs. Islandersexcluded

SELL Hurricanes @ 99.9¢$20.0k

LOW 0xe5f0…dc1d · 192d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?called

BUY No @ 90¢$18.0k

LOW 0xe5f0…dc1d · 194d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.6¢$14.3k

LOW 0xe5f0…dc1d · 201d ago

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