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obakobakk

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$46.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$19.1k
Last 30 days +$15.1k · $1.51M volume · 1,826 trades · since Sep 07, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$11.4k
Open P&L · 14 positions
+$3,469
Closed-position win rate
62%
282 closed
Wallet age · markets
778d
277 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% 38d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ $10.5k88% 38d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $12.9k100% 130d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $10.8k99% 319d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb4d2b5…