Catch8877

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -40.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-40.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.4

Flagged volume

$10.8k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$162.0k

Last 30 days −$556 · $3.25M volume · 3,632 trades · since Mar 20, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$385.4k

Open P&L · 97 positions

−$544.7k

Closed-position win rate

74%

234 closed

Wallet age · markets

223d

323 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.4	-40.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	LOW BUY Movistar KOI @ 40¢	$10.8k	40%	1d ago	Missed

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Missed

BUY Movistar KOI @ 40¢$10.8k

LOW Catch8877 · 1d ago

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