podairpod

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?+$1,228No · avg 68¢ → 88¢ · $5,398 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?+$201Yes · avg 94¢ → 98.2¢ · $4,650 Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?+$183Yes · avg 82¢ → 87¢ · $3,263 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?+$446No · avg 50¢ → 88¢ · $1,014 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?+$6Yes · avg 58¢ → 58¢ · $969 Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?+$10Yes · avg 37¢ → 38¢ · $691 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?+$154No · avg 72¢ → 92.8¢ · $681 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?+$132Yes · avg 50¢ → 62¢ · $674

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$10.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$23.5k

Last 30 days −$4,641 · $1.32M volume · 9,890 trades · since Dec 10, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$69.6k

Open P&L · 32 positions

−$1,148

Closed-position win rate

97%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

688d

801 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 79¢	$10.1k	21%	17h ago	OpenResolves Dec 9

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?OpenResolves Dec 9

SELL Yes @ 79¢$10.1k

LOW podairpod · 17h ago

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