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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
$10.1k
SELL Yes @ 94.8¢ · 10,700 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet justme003 took Yes (sell) for $10.1k at an average 94.8¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
94.8¢
Implied odds
5.2%
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Jul 17, 13:58 EDT
Market close
Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
justme003
Tx
0xffe46dc5…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+37.7 pts
expected 0.5 from price
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Entry to resolution

Grade -5 pts
Yes price · entry 94.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 94.8¢ · $10.1k WHALE $10.1K @ 94.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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