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What this means. A wallet put $177.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded
$177.8k
BUY Yes @ 49¢ · 364,500 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet otsosiusa took Yes (buy) for $177.8k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $177.8k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
48.8%
As American odds
+105 no vig
Size
$177.8k
Placed
Jun 21, 22:22 EDT
Market close
Jun 21, 21:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
otsosiusa
Tx
0xff69724d…

Entry to resolution

Grade +51 pts
Yes price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $177.8k WHALE $177.8K @ 49¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $364.1k0% otsosiusa NEW124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% Kelvin789124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.7k0% zhouqin19888124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.8k0% fleamarut1124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.5k0% 0xa04c…9e3f124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $123.8k0% joshlick9321124d agoexcluded