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Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $177.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$177.8k
BUY Yes @ 49¢ · 364,500 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet otsosiusa took Yes (buy) for $177.8k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $177.8k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 48.8%
- As American odds
- +105 no vig
- Size
- $177.8k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 22:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- otsosiusa
- Tx
- 0xff69724d…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +51 ptsYes price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $364.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $123.8k | excluded |